United States • Trade

USA — Trade Deficit

Data through 30 Jun 2025 usa-trade-deficit-bea-2025-06-v1 Azure SQL serving model

Total trade balance

Verified
−$918B 2024

Goods deficit

Verified
−$1,211B 2024

Services surplus

Verified
$293B 2024

Current account / GDP

Verified
−3.9% of GDP 2024

China share of goods gap

Verified
24.4% 2024

Featured chart • USD billions

The gap is entirely in goods

Annual goods deficit, services surplus and their combined total.
2014–2024

Detailed analysis

Where the gap is, why it exists, and what moves it

All values respond to the applicable country, currency, frequency and period filters.

Where it sits

Bilateral goods balances

China
−$295.4B
Mexico
−$171.8B
Vietnam
−$123.5B
Ireland
−$86.7B
Germany
−$84.8B
Taiwan
−$73.9B
Japan
−$68.5B
South Korea
−$66B
Canada
−$63.3B
India
−$45.7B

A bilateral gap is not a scoreboard of fair dealing. It reflects comparative advantage and where supply chains route final assembly.

Why it exists

Saving, investment and the identity

National saving minus domestic investment equals the current account by construction. The trade gap is the arithmetic consequence of investing more than the country saves — foreign capital arrives as imported goods.

What tariffs did

China's share of the goods gap

2017 46.5%
2018 47.5%
2019 39.9%
2020 34.4%
2021 32.6%
2022 32.2%
2023 26.3%
2024 24.4%

China's share fell from 46.5% in 2017 to 24.4% in 2024, while the total goods gap widened from −$807.5B to −$1,211.7B. The gap moved to other partners rather than closing.

What would move it

Policy levers by estimated effect

Exalytics assessment
Reduce the federal deficit
+1.2%
Raise private saving
+0.5%
Expand export capacity
+0.4%
Open services markets abroad
+0.3%
Broad import tariffs
−0.1%

Estimated narrowing of the external gap in percent of GDP. These are reviewed assessments, not measurements, and are excluded from Ask Exa's grounding so answers rest only on observed data.

Current run-rate

Monthly trade balance

Recent months provisional
Jan 2025
Feb 2025
Mar 2025
Apr 2025
May 2025
Jun 2025

Composition

Goods gap versus services surplus

2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
Goods Services Total

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